Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.191251 0.216043 0.242287 0.272085 0.304920 0.339940 0.380057
2025-07-06 0.156869 0.190014 0.227134 0.271591 0.323184 0.380963 0.450344
2025-07-13 0.134331 0.172840 0.218095 0.274785 0.343449 0.423452 0.523204
2025-07-20 0.119207 0.161825 0.214075 0.282124 0.367606 0.470576 0.603041
2025-07-27 0.105030 0.149884 0.207071 0.284235 0.384398 0.508675 0.673003
2025-08-03 0.095026 0.141925 0.203873 0.290148 0.405423 0.552189 0.750916
2025-08-10 0.087406 0.136148 0.202652 0.297963 0.428657 0.598912 0.834310
2025-08-17 0.077884 0.126561 0.195162 0.296307 0.438562 0.628045 0.895354
2025-08-24 0.070153 0.118681 0.189199 0.295960 0.449685 0.658668 0.958944
2025-08-31 0.063306 0.111368 0.183301 0.294992 0.459432 0.687307 1.020377
2025-09-07 0.059047 0.107613 0.182253 0.300787 0.478758 0.729563 1.101652
2025-09-14 0.053936 0.101941 0.177747 0.300911 0.489523 0.759822 1.166816
2025-09-21 0.049024 0.096264 0.173000 0.300649 0.500124 0.790918 1.235384
2025-09-28 0.044635 0.091022 0.168496 0.300368 0.510513 0.821931 1.304782
2025-10-05 0.041439 0.087550 0.166581 0.303984 0.526899 0.862212 1.388892
2025-10-12 0.039328 0.085830 0.167432 0.312050 0.550475 0.913931 1.491428
2025-10-19 0.036459 0.082375 0.164990 0.314388 0.564876 0.952054 1.574628
2025-10-26 0.034486 0.080442 0.165038 0.320848 0.586077 1.001173 1.675784
2025-11-02 0.032967 0.079248 0.166291 0.329366 0.610894 1.056582 1.788030
2025-11-09 0.030170 0.075137 0.161855 0.327570 0.618329 1.084729 1.858776
2025-11-16 0.027815 0.071691 0.158376 0.327196 0.628004 1.116565 1.935975
2025-11-23 0.025592 0.068281 0.154682 0.326144 0.636339 1.146338 2.010552
2025-11-30 0.024375 0.066980 0.154996 0.332452 0.657602 1.197663 2.120676